Ethereum (ETH) Investors Assess Potential for $4,000 Rally or $3,000 Dip

Amidst a broader market crash, Ethereum experiences a 2.50% decline, fueling concerns of a potential drop to $3,000. Despite this setback, some investors maintain optimism for long-term gains, pointing to the possibility of a bullish trend triggered by Bitcoin Halving. However, ETH faces resistance even as it finds support at $2,850, with conflicting signals from technical indicators adding to market uncertainty.

Ethereum, the leading altcoin by market capitalization, has not escaped the recent market downturn, witnessing a 2.50% decline in price. Worries about a potential descent to $3,000 have emerged following this setback and amid broader concerns of a significant market correction.

Nevertheless, despite the current downturn, certain investors remain hopeful about Ethereum’s long-term trajectory. The historical precedent of Bitcoin Halving sparking an altcoin season hints at the potential for a future uptrend.

With a market capitalization of $382 billion, Ethereum has experienced an 18% drop over recent weeks. However, the ETH price has found support around the 50% Fibonacci level, approximately $2,850.

The consolidation on the weekly chart between the 50% and 61.80% Fibonacci levels has been prolonged by the latest downturn. The smaller rejection from the 50% Fib level suggests a possible bullish breakout, potentially leading to sustained levels above $3,000.

Can Ethereum Regain Momentum?

At its current trading price of $3,140, Ethereum displays an intraday Doji candle, highlighting the altcoin’s volatile nature. The resumption of an upward trend for Ethereum may occur if the market manages to avoid further losses.

Technical indicators offer a mixed outlook for Ethereum. The bearish crossover in the MACD and signal lines on the weekly chart reflects the recent pullback phase. However, a rebound from the 50% Fib level in ETH price could reignite positive momentum.

A potential breakout above the $3,265 resistance level may signal an entry opportunity for a bull run continuation. Such a scenario could test the formidable $4,000 resistance level, potentially resulting in a 25% increase.

However, while the likelihood of a drop to $3,000 remains minimal, it still concerns investors amidst the current market conditions. The prevailing uncertainty prompts investors to carefully evaluate the potential outcomes for Ethereum’s price movement.

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Industry Sources Anticipate SEC Denial of Spot Ether ETFs Next Month

Industry insiders anticipate the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will reject proposals for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) linked to the price of ether in the coming month, according to sources familiar with the matter.

Several firms, including VanEck and ARK Investment Management, have submitted applications to the SEC seeking approval for ETFs that would mirror the spot price movements of ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. The SEC is slated to make decisions on VanEck’s and ARK’s applications by May 23 and May 24, respectively.

Meetings between these firms and the SEC in recent weeks have reportedly been disheartening, with agency staff offering little insight into the concerns surrounding the proposed ETFs. This stands in stark contrast to the extensive deliberations that preceded the approval of bitcoin-based ETFs earlier this year.

Led by crypto skeptic Gary Gensler, the SEC had historically rejected bitcoin ETFs due to concerns over market manipulation. However, pressure mounted after Grayscale Investments successfully challenged the SEC’s stance in court, leading to the recent approval of spot bitcoin ETFs. Despite arguments from ETF issuers citing precedents set by bitcoin ETFs and ether futures-based ETFs approved last year, the SEC appears poised to deny the current filings, signaling a setback for the cryptocurrency industry.

While some issuers intend to submit additional documentation to the SEC to prolong discussions, expectations of a rejection have already impacted ether’s price. Although the cryptocurrency has seen a modest increase in value this year, it has lagged behind bitcoin, which reached new all-time highs recently.

The SEC’s scrutiny of ether ETFs has been limited thus far, with only a few meetings reported, including one with crypto exchange Coinbase. Coinbase argued that the rationale behind approving bitcoin ETFs should extend to ether products, given the correlation between ether futures and the spot market.

If the SEC rejects the ether ETFs, it may be due to concerns regarding the availability and reliability of statistical data on the ether market. Some observers speculate that the SEC may require more time to assess the impact of ether futures trading before greenlighting spot ETFs.

Despite the anticipated rejection, some industry insiders believe that legal challenges could eventually pave the way for ether ETFs. However, for now, the prospect of approval remains uncertain, leaving the cryptocurrency market in a state of flux.

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Asset Tokenization: A Paradigm Shift in Financial Markets

Financial markets are experiencing a profound transformation with the rise of asset tokenization, signaling more than just a passing trend among technology enthusiasts. It represents a fundamental evolution in the management and transaction of assets on a global scale.

The distinction between crypto-native tokens and tokenized real-world assets is paramount. While crypto-native tokens like bitcoin and ether exist purely in the digital realm and serve various purposes within their ecosystems, tokenized RWAs bridge the gap between digital and traditional finance. They enhance liquidity and fractionalization, making previously illiquid assets more accessible.

The recent launch of BlackRock’s BUIDL, a tokenized private short-term treasury fund, is a significant milestone in the realm of tokenization. BUIDL attracted nearly $300 million in assets within its first month, signaling BlackRock’s endorsement of tokenization as the future of markets. Tokenized government treasuries, exemplified by products like BENJI and USDY, have seen exponential growth, with the market surpassing $1.2 billion.

Currently, on-chain RWAs represent a $7.5 billion market, but the pace of growth and the widening array of tokenized assets, including treasuries, commodities, real estate, and more, suggest a tipping point. Forecasts indicate that the market for tokenized assets could reach $16 trillion by 2030, facilitating the development of new financial ecosystems across DeFi protocols.

A new demographic of investors has emerged within the crypto-native space, accustomed to accessing financial products and services directly from their wallets. These investors have benefited from a decentralized ecosystem operating 24/7, with lower barriers to entry compared to traditional financial systems.

Geopolitical events can have a significant impact on tokenized assets, as demonstrated by the trading behavior of PAXG during heightened tensions between Iran and Israel. This underscores the importance of asset safety, a principle that applies to both traditional and digital markets.

The concept of “Bring Your Own Wallet” represents a paradigm shift, empowering individual investors to manage and access their assets without relying on intermediaries. As more assets transition to blockchain, asset managers will adapt

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CoinPoker Adopts Zero Withdrawal Fees Trend

CoinPoker, a crypto betting app, has recently abolished all withdrawal fees on its platform, aligning itself with industry trends seen in online gambling sites like Rollbit.

This strategic move is expected to enhance CoinPoker’s competitiveness and potentially attract more users over time, especially as it offers similar features to Rollbit and introduces unique propositions such as poker games against human opponents.

The elimination of withdrawal fees, coupled with the recent success of gambling coins like Rollbit, could drive positive momentum for CoinPoker’s native CHP token.

The platform’s official announcement emphasized that only blockchain network fees will apply to withdrawals, highlighting a user-centric approach aimed at fostering growth and stability.

Previously, CoinPoker imposed nominal withdrawal fees to support site security and stability. However, advancements in security measures now allow the platform to waive these fees without compromising user experience or safety.

Currently ranked 90th globally in the poker category by SimilarWeb, CoinPoker has seen steady growth, rising 14 places between February and March. With its strong user experience and unique offerings, CoinPoker is poised to climb further in industry rankings.

The platform’s Crypto Series of Poker tournament, featuring a guaranteed prize pool of $1 million, has garnered significant attention, attracting renowned players like Tony G. who recently won over $300,000.

As CoinPoker solidifies its position as a leading destination for crypto-friendly poker, it stands to gain market share from competitors like Rollbit. This potential growth trajectory could also bolster the value of CoinPoker’s CHP token.

Despite recent declines, CHP has shown resilience, prompting investor interest following the withdrawal fee announcement. With consistent platform expansion, CHP may mirror the success of Rollbit’s RLB token, which has surged by 670% over the past year.

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Bitcoin Bulls Bet on Weaker Dollar for Rally Extension

As the Dollar Index (DXY) experiences a recent pullback, crypto traders are banking on continued dollar weakness to fuel a resurgence in Bitcoin (BTC), although some banks hold a contrary view.

Recent trends have seen Bitcoin trading within the $60,000 to $70,000 range since mid-March, with the dollar’s bounce on the DXY contributing to this stabilization. However, a reversal in the DXY’s trajectory, coupled with expectations of a weaker dollar, has reignited optimism among Bitcoin bulls.

Mike Alfred, a value investor and managing partner at Alpine Fox LP, anticipates a turnaround in the DXY, projecting a move back towards 102-103, which he believes will coincide with a bitcoin rally towards $90,000 in the short term. While some banks foresee continued dollar strength, others see signs of a potential peak, with projections ranging between 107 and 110 for the DXY.

Societe Generale’s Cross Asset Research Team and Scotiabank are among those forecasting a resilient dollar, citing expectations of a prolonged hold on interest rates by the Federal Reserve. Additionally, the possibility of a U.S.-China trade war escalation, with proposed tariff hikes on Chinese imports, could further bolster the dollar, according to Barclays.

Despite divergent opinions, crypto traders remain focused on the potential impact of a weaker dollar, which historically correlates with increased risk-taking and a favorable environment for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. As such, traders are closely monitoring shifts in the DXY and geopolitical developments that could influence the dollar’s trajectory in the coming weeks.

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