Bitcoin Traders Shrug Off ‘Halving’, Eye Broader Market Risks

Bitcoin’s much-anticipated “halving” event has left little impact on its price trajectory, as market observers point to broader economic factors and geopolitical tensions shaping the cryptocurrency’s movements.

The halving, a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s technology that reduces the rate of new bitcoin creation, occurred over the weekend. While some enthusiasts anticipated a price surge similar to past halving events, the market response has been muted.

As of Monday afternoon GMT, Bitcoin traded at $66,300, showing modest gains amidst a landscape dominated by geopolitical uncertainties. Mick Roche, a senior trader at Zodia Markets, noted that events like easing tensions between Iran and Israel have exerted more influence on Bitcoin’s price than the halving itself.

Eric Demuth, CEO of Bitpanda, emphasized Bitcoin’s increasing correlation with broader market sentiment, suggesting that retail trading patterns around the halving were not distinctive.

Bitcoin’s resilience is partly attributed to its evolving relationship with traditional markets. Regulatory developments, such as the potential approval of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds in the U.S., have bolstered investor confidence and contributed to its recovery from previous downturns.

Looking ahead, Ben Laidler, global markets strategist at eToro, highlighted the trend towards institutional adoption of Bitcoin. While retail investors currently dominate the market, regulatory changes could pave the way for broader institutional involvement.

Despite its growing prominence, cryptocurrencies remain a niche asset class, with regulatory scrutiny and limited real-world utility tempering their mainstream appeal. Market observers are also awaiting regulatory decisions on spot ETFs for Ethereum, though hopes for imminent approval are diminishing.

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Pre-Halving Market Volatility Spurs Crypto Liquidations

Market volatility has led to over $152 million in cryptocurrency liquidations over the past day, with the wider cryptocurrency market witnessing over $290 million in liquidations within the same period. Of these liquidations, approximately $154 million were from long positions.

Bitcoin’s liquidations soared to over $108 million as the asset dipped below the $60,000 mark before rebounding. Presently, it struggles to maintain its position above $64,000. Coinglass data reveals that liquidations were almost evenly split between bitcoin longs and shorts, totaling just over $54 million and $53 million, respectively.

The largest digital asset by market capitalization increased by around 5.3% in the past 24 hours, trading at $64,739 at 5:22 a.m. ET, according to The Block’s Price Page. The GM 30 Index, representing a selection of the top 30 cryptocurrencies, rose by 4.46% to 129.97 in the same period.

According to The Block’s halving countdown, Bitcoin’s upcoming halving event, where the miners’ block subsidy reward gets halved, is less than 100 blocks away. Analysts from 21Shares suggested that Bitcoin may continue in a lateral movement until geopolitical concerns, such as conflicts in the Middle East and control of oil transportation routes, stabilize.

The analysts observed that if geopolitical risks stabilize, bitcoin is expected to continue its upward trend post-halving. This is anticipated to be supported by increasing institutional interest in digital assets, particularly driven by U.S. spots and recently approved Hong Kong ETFs.

Coinbase analyst David Han emphasized the impact of macroeconomic factors, particularly heightened geopolitical tensions, on short-term crypto activity. “The recent elevated correlation of altcoins against bitcoin underlines this, indicating bitcoin’s anchor role in the space even as it firms its position as a macro asset,” Han stated in this week’s Coinbase Monthly Outlook report.

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Tether Expands Dollar, Gold Stablecoins to Boost Telegram Payments

Tether announced its intention to enhance peer-to-peer payments on Telegram by extending its dollar-pegged USDT and gold-backed XAUT tokens to the TON network, catering to Telegram’s vast user base 900 million.

Originally initiated by Telegram, the TON network has experienced rapid expansion, fueled by incentives to onboard Telegram users. Tether, the entity behind the $108 billion market cap USDT, disclosed plans to integrate the dollar-pegged stablecoin and its gold-backed counterpart XAUT natively on The Open Network (TON), a blockchain closely associated with the messaging app Telegram.

Tether’s transparency page revealed that $10 million worth of USDT has been authorized on the TON blockchain, with $3 million already issued. This strategic move aims to facilitate “borderless, peer-to-peer payments” among Telegram’s extensive user base and bolster the burgeoning TON ecosystem, enabling users to leverage the stablecoins in decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.

Paolo Ardoino, CEO of Tether, emphasized the significance of this expansion, stating that the launch of USDT and XAUT on TON would enable seamless value transfer. This move aims to increase activity and liquidity while offering users a financial experience akin to those found in the traditional financial system.

The Open Network operates as a decentralized layer-1 network initially spearheaded by Telegram but operating independently due to regulatory concerns. Recent months have witnessed a surge in TON’s ecosystem, propelled by incentives for Telegram user adoption, with monthly active addresses surpassing 1.7 million from less than 100,000 six months ago.

Despite a momentary dip of up to 15% in the TON token following the announcement, it remains up 7% over the past 24 hours and has tripled in price this year, amassing a market capitalization of nearly $25 billion. Telegram’s crypto wallet supports various blockchains for deposits and withdrawals, with trading fees substantially reduced to encourage TON adoption.

Ramp Network, a fintech firm bridging crypto with traditional banking infrastructure, announced plans to facilitate purchases and withdrawals of USDT on TON following the announcement. Starting with fiat-to-USDT on TON on its platform, Ramp Network intends to integrate with third-party wallets supporting TON-based assets and later incorporate off-ramp capabilities.

Szymon Sypniewicz, CEO of Ramp Network, articulated the company’s vision, stating, “Crypto transactions should be as simple as texting,” underscoring the potential to enhance the lives of millions within the TON ecosystem through accessible, low-cost crypto transactions.

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Bitcoin Whales Increase Holdings with $1.2B Purchase During Dip

As Bitcoin experienced a dip below $60,000, significant investors seized the opportunity, fueling a rapid market rebound. According to IntoTheBlock, large holders, known as whales, increased their BTC holdings by 19,760 coins, valued at over $1.2 billion, at an average price of $62,500 on Friday.

Whales, influential players in the crypto market, are closely watched for their buying and selling patterns, often signaling market movements. Their accumulation during dips historically precedes price surges, suggesting a bullish sentiment.

This surge in whale activity contrasts with earlier in the week when investors hesitated to capitalize on market weakness. The subsequent rebound past $65,000, following airstrikes in Iran, was partly attributed to spot BTC buyers.

Bitcoin’s consolidation around $60,000 comes ahead of its halving event on April 20, reducing miner rewards and curbing token issuance. Despite uncertainties, opportunistic buying between $60,000-$62,000 levels indicates underlying market support.

David Han from Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN)Institutional notes the dual role of Bitcoin as both a risk asset and a safe haven, contributing to directional uncertainty amid market fluctuations.

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