SINGAPORE, May 8, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — HTX DeepThink is a flagship market insights column created by HTX, dedicated to exploring global macro trends, key economic indicators, and major developments across the crypto industry. In a world where volatility is the norm, HTX DeepThink aims to help readers “Find Order in Chaos.”

This week, what does Trump’s emerging token plan mean for crypto markets? Why is the Fed holding rates steady? Behind Bitcoin’s rebound, are hidden risks lurking? In this edition of HTX DeepThink, Chloe (@ChloeTalk1) from HTX Research breaks it all down.

Trump Media Group’s Utility Token: A Potential Shift in U.S. Equity Tokenization

On April 30, Trump Media & Technology Group announced it would collaborate with the Truth digital wallet to launch a new utility token called DJT. Initially, DJT will facilitate payments for the Truth+ subscription service, with plans to expand its utility across the Truth ecosystem.

It’s the first time a publicly listed U.S. media company is launching a utility token tied to a real-world product ecosystem, signifying a historic convergence between traditional equities and on-chain asset formats. Although the team has yet to announce a release date, blockchain platform, or tokenomics, the rollout appears to follow Trump’s classic strategy: hype first, details later.

DJT is hitting the market at just the right moment as memecoin mania is cooling and narratives are shifting toward utility and payment integration. Similar to HTX’s recent listing of WLFI’s USD1, demand for “practical crypto assets” is surging. DJT combines powerful political branding with real ecosystem support, offering long-term value potential far beyond that of short-lived meme-driven tokens.

U.S.-China Trade Talks: A Temporary Easing Amidst Persistent Tensions

This weekend, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Besant and Trade Representative Jamison Greer will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng in Geneva. This meeting, the first high-level U.S.-China trade talks since heightened tensions in spring 2025, signals a potential diplomatic thaw.

Although both sides still dispute who initiated the talks, the meeting alone sends a strong signal of reengagement and diplomatic thawing. With tariffs at historic highs, markets are interpreting the summit as a short-term de-escalation of geopolitical risks—sparking a relief rally in risk assets.

Following the news, Bitcoin rose by approximately 3.6%, briefly surpassing $97,000. This reflects how sensitive capital flows remain to macro-level easing signals. While structural differences between the two nations are far from resolved, the current window of policy détente may offer a short-term liquidity boost for digital assets, gold, and tech stocks.

Powell Throws : “Now Is Not the Time to Cut Rates”

On May 8, the Fed held interest rates steady at 4.25%–4.50% for the third consecutive meeting. While it was widely expected, Fed Chair Jerome Powell struck a noticeably more cautious tone during the press conference:

• “Now is not the time for us to lead with a rate cut.”
• “The cost of waiting is relatively low.”
• “Whether we cut this year depends on how things develop.”

The Fed is currently caught in a “dual bind”: on one hand, disinflation has stalled, with PCE and CPI both above the 2% target. On the other, the central bank’s fiscal position is deteriorating. A 25–30 bps rate cut could shave $20 billion off annual income, further reducing remittances to the Treasury and raising concerns over the Fed’s policy independence.

As a result, despite markets currently pricing in three rate cuts in 2025, the Fed is more likely to take a “data-driven, delayed transition” approach.

Bitcoin’s Market Dynamics: Macroeconomic Data to Dictate Direction

Despite BTC rebounding to around $99,000 on geopolitical and monetary optimism, the options market is not confirming a strong directional bias. Deribit data shows implied volatility on June and July calls rising only modestly, while 25d risk reversals remain neutral to slightly bearish, and skew curves are relatively flat. Notably, large Gamma exposures are clustered around the $95,000–$100,000 range, indicating that BTC is currently trapped in a “high-volatility, low-conviction” zone awaiting macro catalysts.

If CPI and jobs data for May–June remain hot, the Fed may push back on rate cut expectations—risking a BTC pullback. Conversely, if inflation cools and unemployment ticks up, Powell may pivot dovishly, providing a green light for BTC to break out of its volatility compression range and resume its bullish trend.

*The above content  is not an investment advice and does not constitute any offer or solicitation to offer or recommendation of any investment product.

About HTX Research

HTX Research is the dedicated research arm of HTX Group, responsible for conducting in-depth analyses, producing comprehensive reports, and delivering expert evaluations across a broad spectrum of topics, including cryptocurrency, blockchain technology, and emerging market trends.

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The Trump crypto scandal is sparking outrage across Capitol Hill, with lawmakers accusing former President Donald Trump and his family of pushing a self-serving digital currency agenda. At the center of the controversy is a billion-dollar deal involving an Abu Dhabi-backed investment fund, a Trump-affiliated stablecoin, and crypto exchange giant Binance.

World Liberty Financial, a cryptocurrency venture co-owned by Trump’s sons Donald Jr. and Eric, holds direct ties to the former president. According to the company’s website, 60% of it is controlled by a Trump business entity. Critics say this setup dangerously blurs the line between public office and private profit.

A $2 Billion Deal Draws Fire

On May 1, the Emirati fund revealed plans to use Trump’s stablecoin to finance a $2 billion investment in Binance. The massive crypto transaction raised alarm among lawmakers, many of whom believe it undermines the GENIUS Act — a bipartisan effort aimed at regulating stablecoins with oversight, transparency, and consumer protection.

The scandal has already led to fallout. Democratic Rep. Maxine Waters stormed out of a House crypto hearing, calling Trump’s actions “a blatant abuse of power” and accusing him of using regulatory influence to benefit his personal interests.

Meme Coin Profits and Exclusive Perks

The Trump crypto scandal doesn’t stop at stablecoins. In late April, Fight Fight Fight, a company aligned with Trump’s brand, promoted its $TRUMP meme coin by offering exclusive rewards to top investors. Perks included an “intimate dinner” with Trump at his Virginia golf club and a now-deleted promise of a “VIP White House Tour” — despite him no longer being in office.

These promotions sent the coin’s value soaring by up to 80%. Since January, Trump-linked tokens and meme coins have generated over $300 million in trading fees. Many lawmakers view these profits as the result of a carefully orchestrated campaign to exploit Trump’s political brand.

Support for GENIUS Act Weakens

Once seen as a landmark in crypto oversight, the GENIUS Act is now on shaky ground. Senators across party lines are distancing themselves from the legislation. Democratic Sen. Elizabeth Warren called the Trump crypto scandal “a textbook example of corruption,” arguing that the bill, in its current form, could end up legitimizing Trump’s crypto ventures.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer has reportedly urged fellow Democrats to demand stronger anti-corruption measures before supporting the bill. At least nine Democratic senators have pulled their backing since news of the Trump deal broke.

Republican Lawmakers Also Voice Doubts

Though less direct in their criticism, some Republican senators are also signaling resistance. Sen. Rand Paul warned that the proposed regulations could stifle crypto innovation, while Sen. Josh Hawley expressed discomfort with the idea of private entities, including Big Tech, issuing stablecoins.

Sen. John Kennedy, too, remains undecided. He noted that “deals are being made all over the place” and refused to support the bill until its details are clarified.

Calls for New Safeguards and Reform

In response to the Trump crypto scandal, Sens. Jeff Merkley and Elizabeth Warren are drafting legislation to prohibit the president, vice president, and lawmakers — along with their families — from launching or profiting from crypto ventures while in office.

Sen. Merkley described Trump’s activities as “selling access to his office in broad daylight,” adding, “This isn’t just unethical — it’s corrosive to democracy.”

If passed, the End Crypto Corruption Act would aim to restore public trust by separating digital asset entrepreneurship from political power.

Public and political pressure continues to mount as the Trump crypto scandal unfolds. Whether it derails the GENIUS Act or reshapes how U.S. officials engage with digital assets, one thing is clear — the intersection of politics and crypto has never been more volatile.

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After a rocky start to the year, the Bitcoin ETFs market is gaining significant momentum. With growing institutional interest, weakening U.S. dollar forecasts, and an accommodative macroeconomic environment, Bitcoin and related exchange-traded funds are re-entering bullish territory.

Bitcoin ETFs Ride the Institutional Wave

The latest inflows into Bitcoin ETFs are a clear signal: big money is getting behind crypto. According to The Economic Times, spot Bitcoin ETFs have recorded over $4.2 billion in net inflows in just the past few weeks, fueled primarily by institutional investors increasing their exposure to the digital asset.

Geoff Kendrick, a senior analyst at Standard Chartered, expects that the mid-May 13F filings with the SEC will show even more institutional support for Bitcoin ETFs. This data could confirm a broader shift in asset allocation strategies, including a move away from traditional safe-haven assets like gold.

Indeed, Kendrick has noted that investors may be rotating from gold ETFs into Bitcoin ETFs, viewing the latter as a more attractive inflation hedge and long-term store of value.

Weak Dollar Makes Bitcoin Shine

The U.S. dollar has been on a downward trajectory in 2025, due in part to tariff tensions and shifting investor sentiment. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is down 2.25% in the last month and more than 8% since the start of the year, according to TradingView.

This dollar weakness has bolstered the case for Bitcoin. A depreciating greenback typically benefits hard assets, and Bitcoin, with its capped supply of 21 million coins, is increasingly being seen as “digital gold.”

Forbes reports that several financial institutions now predict a further 15-20% decline in the dollar over the next few years, a development that would likely boost Bitcoin’s long-term value—and by extension, the value of Bitcoin ETFs.

Fed Policy Could Fuel the Crypto Fire

Another catalyst for the current crypto surge is monetary policy. The Federal Reserve is expected to hold rates steady in the near term, but economists project rate cuts beginning in July 2025. According to Barclays, as quoted by Reuters, the Fed is unlikely to move until mid-summer, waiting for more clarity on trade policy and inflation data.

Lower interest rates generally increase risk appetite, pushing investors toward higher-yielding and more volatile assets—like Bitcoin and Bitcoin ETFs. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there’s a 77.6% chance of a rate cut in July and a 99.5% chance of further easing by September.

Bitcoin Price Predictions Remain Bullish

As confidence grows, so do price targets. Standard Chartered’s Kendrick believes Bitcoin could soon surpass its all-time high of $109,000 and potentially hit $120,000 by the end of Q2. His year-end target is a bold $200,000, assuming institutional inflows continue and macro conditions remain favorable.

Joe Burnett, head of research at Unchained, echoes this sentiment, suggesting Bitcoin could even surge to $250,000 if current tailwinds persist.

Top Bitcoin ETFs for 2025

For investors looking to gain exposure to this bullish trend, several Bitcoin ETFs offer a practical entry point. Among the top picks:

• iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ:IBIT) 
• Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTCQX:GBTC) 
• Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (CBOE:FBTC) 
• ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (CBOE:ARKB) 
• Bitwise Bitcoin ETF Trust (NYSEARCA:BITB) 

For those prioritizing cost efficiency, BITB stands out with an annual expense ratio of just 0.20%, making it ideal for long-term holders. Investors may also consider the newer Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust (OTCQX:BTC), which charges a competitive 0.15% fee.

Final Thoughts

While the cryptocurrency market remains inherently volatile, the long-term thesis for Bitcoin ETFs continues to strengthen. Institutional confidence, weakening dollar trends, and dovish monetary policy are aligning to push Bitcoin—and its associated funds—to new highs.

As always, investors should weigh the risks carefully. But for those with a long-term outlook and an appetite for innovation, 2025 may be the breakout year for Bitcoin ETFs.

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NEW YORK, May 7, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Permanent cloud network AR.IO onramps credit cards for its leading domain name and web-hosting service, ArNS, on the Arweave blockchain

AR.IO, the world’s first permanent cloud network built on the Arweave blockchain, has launched new fiat capability for purchases of its leading domain name service, ArNS, which offers easy access to web3 applications and permanent website hosting. 

Traditional domain name platforms require ongoing subscription renewals and rely on centralized infrastructure. ArNS, however, is supported by AR.IO’s network of 400+ gateways, making it decentralized and globally accessible. Users also have the option to buy a permanent domain name that never expires, nor does any data attached to it.

AR.IO users have long been able to buy credits for uploads to the network with fiat, $AR, $MATIC, $SOL, $ETH, and $ETH on Base. But starting today, they can use a simple credit card to purchase credits in a one-time transaction. This is made possible through AR.IO’s “Turbo” – an open-source bundler for the Arweave ecosystem that also bridges fiat to crypto. 

Commenting on the launch of ArNS’s new credit-card capability, Phil Mataras, founder and CEO of AR.IO, says, “With ArNS and its permanent purchase option, you will never, ever, lose access to your domain name or your website because you forgot to pay a subscription or the chain or provider removed or lost your data. This is a unique feature that sets us apart from any other DNS provider out there – and this couldn’t come at a better time as we see online information being deleted and manipulated at a rapid pace.”

More than simply pointing to data, ArNS domains are programmable smart contracts designed to trigger integrations, on-chain logic, and automations. With every name, users can permanently host apps, websites, and data via Arweave. This decentralized storage solution provides an alternative to centralized services that protects users from outages due to missed payments or provider issues.

Creating a new standard for digital identities, ArNS doesn’t just replace traditional DNS, it reinvents it for a sovereign, decentralized global internet.

About AR.IO

AR.IO is the first permanent cloud network, providing decentralized, censorship-resistant access to data, storage, and domains. Built on Arweave, AR.IO ensures information and applications remain universally accessible, tamper-proof, and free from centralized control. Its incentivized gateway network enhances reliability, while self-sovereign, permanent domains eliminate renewals and offer true digital ownership. AR.IO envisions an internet that is resilient, equitable, and neutral, where businesses, creators, individuals, and society as a whole are empowered to thrive.

To learn more about AR.IO, users can visit https://ar.io/ and follow @ar_io_network on X

About ArNS

ArNS (Arweave Name System) is a decentralized, permanent, smart domain name system built on the Arweave blockchain and powered by the AR.IO network. ArNS stands apart from other web2 and web3 name systems through its flexible options to lease or permanently purchase without renewals or subscriptions. With ArNS, users can permissionlessly publish websites, point to data, apps, or identities for uninterrupted access via a censorship-resistant, globally distributed gateway network. All entries are stored permanently and immutably on-chain, ensuring trustless, verifiable, and tamper-proof naming for a truly sovereign web.

Contact

Rebecca Jones
Block3 PR
rebecca@block3.pr 

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The return of stock market greed is dominating headlines and driving price action in both equities and digital assets. As risk appetite surges among investors, the cryptocurrency market is riding a parallel wave of momentum that could define trading strategies in Q2 2025.

Stock Market Greed Reawakens in 2025

On May 6, 2025, the widely watched Fear & Greed Index finally tilted back into “Greed” territory for the first time this year, according to a post by market analyst AltcoinGordon. The index, a barometer of investor sentiment, indicates that optimism is rapidly returning to Wall Street. Major benchmarks like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite reflected that mood, climbing 1.2% and 1.5% respectively by mid-morning trading.

This bullish energy is not confined to traditional finance. The rise in stock market greed typically spills over into speculative corners of the market—including cryptocurrencies—creating short-term trading opportunities for those watching the cross-market correlation.

Crypto Traders Respond to Equity Market Euphoria

Crypto markets responded swiftly to this sentiment shift. Bitcoin (BTC) jumped 3.5% between 8:00 AM and 2:00 PM EST, pushing toward $68,000 on exchanges like Binance and Coinbase. Leading altcoins followed suit, with Ethereum (ETH) gaining 4.1% and Solana (SOL) surging 5.8% during the same window.

Trading volume surged across the board. Binance reported a 22% increase in ETH/USDT pair volume, while Bitcoin’s BTC/USDT saw an 18% uptick in 24-hour activity. These moves suggest that institutional investors are treating crypto as a high-beta asset class in a broader risk-on environment.

Meanwhile, crypto-related equities saw a bounce as well. Shares of Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:COIN) rose 2.8% by midday, mirroring strength in the underlying digital asset markets. These correlated gains hint at capital rotation into crypto-adjacent sectors, likely driven by portfolio managers betting on a sustained uptrend in speculative assets.

Technical Signals: Is a Pullback Coming?

From a technical standpoint, traders are eyeing potential resistance. On May 6, 2025, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) climbed to 68 on the 4-hour chart, nearing overbought levels. Ethereum’s RSI also rose to 65. While not extreme, these metrics suggest caution is warranted.

On-chain data supports the bullish case, with Glassnode reporting a 7% week-over-week rise in active Bitcoin addresses. This implies growing network activity and user engagement—often a precursor to sustained upward momentum.

However, the market’s emotional tilt toward stock market greed also increases the risk of sharp reversals if macroeconomic data underwhelms or profit-taking begins.

Institutional Impact and ETF Watch

Crypto ETFs are increasingly seen as sentiment indicators. While spot Bitcoin ETFs saw modest inflows on May 6, any acceleration in those flows could serve as confirmation of institutional confidence. Traders are watching ETF activity as a proxy for broader market acceptance of digital assets.

Additionally, fintech and blockchain stocks have benefited from this momentum. If the Nasdaq continues to rally, stocks like Block Inc. (NYSE:SQ) and Marathon Digital Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:MARA) could attract fresh capital alongside DeFi tokens and layer-1 assets like Avalanche (AVAX).

What Comes Next?

Stock market greed creates a fertile environment for short-term rallies across risk assets, but crypto traders must stay alert. If sentiment reverses, the impact on volatile digital assets could be amplified.

The best strategy? Use momentum to your advantage but set tight stop-losses. Watch correlation trends between equities and crypto. Monitor ETF flows. And most importantly, prepare for both euphoria and sudden corrections.

Staying informed is essential in these fast-moving environments. Traders should keep an eye on macroeconomic indicators, central bank commentary, and earnings season data—all of which can quickly shift sentiment. In a market driven by emotion, knowledge and discipline remain your greatest trading assets.

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