Crypto exchange Binance is reportedly contemplating a comeback to India’s market after being banned in late 2023, with the potential re-entry subject to a penalty of around $2 million, as per the Economic Times report on Thursday.

The platform’s prospective return hinges on its registration with the finance ministry’s Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU), responsible for overseeing virtual asset commerce. Binance intends to comply with relevant legislation, including the Prevention of Money Laundering Act (PMLA) and the crypto taxation framework, after previously neglecting these regulations, according to a source cited by the outlet.

While physical presence in India is not mandatory, all virtual asset service providers (VASPs) are subject to Indian regulations, as clarified by the Ministry of Finance. This includes compliance with reporting, record-keeping, and other obligations outlined in the PMLA.

India has been actively integrating the crypto sector into its financial system, introducing regulations last March mandating Know Your Customer (KYC) data collection from crypto companies. Additionally, VASPs with Indian operations, regardless of their location, must register as reporting entities with the FIU and adhere to the PMLA.

Prime Minister Narendra Modi has advocated for global regulations governing cryptocurrencies, underscoring India’s commitment to regulatory clarity in the crypto space.

Before its ban, Binance reportedly held a dominant market share in India, accounting for nearly 90% of the estimated $4 billion in cryptocurrency holdings among Indian citizens. Its popularity was attributed to its non-compliance with Indian tax regulations, as it facilitated trading without the 1% tax deducted at source (TDS) levied by registered exchanges. The introduction of the TDS prompted a significant migration of users to offshore crypto exchanges, including Binance.

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Social media indicators are signaling a shift toward bearish sentiment among cryptocurrency enthusiasts regarding the future trajectory of Bitcoin’s price.

Historically, periods of bearish sentiment in the crypto community have often coincided with market bottoms, reflecting a sentiment that aligns with American poet and novelist Charles Bukowski famously asserted that the masses are consistently mistaken, and true wisdom lies in taking actions divergent from the crowd. 

This principle applies to Bitcoin as well, as the current prevalence of bearish sentiment suggests the possibility of a reversal in the ongoing sell-off of BTC prices.

Blockchain analytics platform Santiment noted a decrease in mentions of “bull market” or “bull cycle” on crypto social media platforms since late March, coupled with a consistent rise in references to “bear market” or “bear cycle.” This shift in sentiment may indicate a possible reversal in Bitcoin’s price trajectory.

Santiment’s Social Trends indicator, which monitors discussions across platforms like Telegram, Reddit, and 4Chan, has observed a decrease in “buy the dip” mentions, indicating waning hopes among retail investors for a quick recovery and continued bull run.

Factors such as diminishing expectations of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts, heightened geopolitical tensions, and the timing of U.S. tax payments have contributed to bitcoin’s recent price decline, which saw a 14% slide this month.

Despite these challenges, bitcoin’s blockchain is set to undergo its fourth mining reward halving, reducing the per-block BTC emission by 50% to 3.125 BTC. While some analysts, including JPMorgan, have warned of a potential further decline in prices following the event, the overall consensus remains bullish for Bitcoin’s long-term prospects.

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Cryptocurrency exchange Kraken has acquired TradeStation Crypto, the digital asset-focused division of online brokerage TradeStation, to expand its regulatory licensing and presence in the United States.

TradeStation Crypto, based in Florida, has obtained money transmitter and other regulatory licenses across most U.S. states in recent years. Kraken’s acquisition of TradeStation Crypto marks a strategic step to accelerate its growth and introduce new product offerings in the U.S. market.

A spokesperson for Kraken confirmed the acquisition, stating that it aligns with the company’s objectives to enhance its footprint in the U.S. market. However, the spokesperson declined to disclose the financial details of the transaction.

The acquisition comes after TradeStation Crypto faced regulatory challenges, including a $3 million settlement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission over a lending service. After this incident, TradeStation’s parent company withdrew from the cryptocurrency space.

TradeStation Crypto gained attention for its involvement in Miami Mayor Francis X. Suarez’s initiative to establish the city as a crypto hub. Notably, the company commissioned the Miami Bull, an 11-foot, 3,000-pound statue unveiled by Mayor Suarez in early 2022.

In addition to its U.S. expansion, Kraken has been making strides in the European Union. The exchange recently announced the acquisition of Netherlands-based crypto firm BCM and secured virtual asset service provider licenses across the region as part of its ongoing growth strategy.

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Bitcoin maintains its position above the significant threshold of $60,000, marking a resurgence amid recent dips that saw it hit six-week lows. Short-covering activity has been notably active, contributing to this upward trend.

Despite recent corrections, Bitcoin continues to assert its dominance within the cryptocurrency market, attracting investors who are turning away from riskier currencies. Additionally, a slowdown in US 10-year treasury yields has provided further support and bolstered sentiment towards cryptocurrencies.

Today, Bitcoin saw a notable rally of 2.9% on Bitstamp, reaching $63,046 from a session low of $60,830. This recovery comes after a 4% decline on Wednesday, the second drop in three days, when it dipped to $59,672 amidst turbulence in Wall Street markets.

The collective market value of cryptocurrencies surged by $20 billion today, surpassing $2.375 trillion, buoyed by gains in Bitcoin and Ethereum.

Bitcoin’s dominance has strengthened as other AI-linked cryptocurrencies experienced declines in recent weeks. Its market share has risen to 55%, marking an increase of 1.35% last week and 2.5% in March, largely due to an influx of new investments.

Anticipation surrounding Bitcoin’s upcoming halving event has driven Google searches to record highs, surpassing the interest levels seen during the 2020 halving.

Meanwhile, US 10-year treasury yields have receded from their recent five-month highs, falling to 4.696%. This decline has provided support for non-yielding assets like Bitcoin.

As the market awaits further guidance on US interest rates, Crypto.com‘s CEO anticipates a wave of selling leading up to the halving event. However, in the long run, this event is expected to have a positive impact and add value to the cryptocurrency market.

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